Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OSMO prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-22 0.359626 0.389260 0.421143 0.458160 0.500163 0.546589 0.602128
2024-12-29 0.298613 0.340837 0.390064 0.452513 0.530838 0.627542 0.758815
2025-01-05 0.253084 0.299827 0.357557 0.435850 0.542186 0.686350 0.905916
2025-01-12 0.218613 0.265912 0.326809 0.413621 0.539074 0.722703 1.031968
2025-01-19 0.193668 0.240386 0.302510 0.394671 0.534855 0.754033 1.158595
2025-01-26 0.182051 0.230761 0.297771 0.401539 0.568617 0.850571 1.433047
2025-02-02 0.176430 0.228408 0.302427 0.422307 0.627579 1.005284 1.900361
2025-02-09 0.166903 0.219403 0.296081 0.424513 0.655145 1.110269 2.325800
2025-02-16 0.156077 0.207482 0.283978 0.415384 0.660167 1.170949 2.681220
2025-02-23 0.148596 0.199864 0.277671 0.414991 0.681243 1.273023 3.251134
2025-03-02 0.140550 0.190759 0.268133 0.407629 0.686960 1.341261 3.780292
2025-03-09 0.133487 0.182663 0.259509 0.400802 0.692424 1.411063 4.408317
2025-03-16 0.126083 0.173886 0.249590 0.391463 0.693158 1.475930 5.164236
2025-03-23 0.122304 0.170662 0.248807 0.399593 0.735575 1.683456 7.240399
2025-03-30 0.115931 0.162898 0.239717 0.390585 0.736607 1.766827 8.829489
2025-04-06 0.108814 0.153534 0.227207 0.373450 0.714851 1.766252 9.778889
2025-04-13 0.102516 0.145191 0.215954 0.357794 0.694339 1.764079 10.820536
2025-04-20 0.100054 0.143009 0.215389 0.364011 0.731409 1.999493 16.603964
2025-04-27 0.099419 0.143800 0.220168 0.382078 0.805349 2.450794 35.845776
2025-05-04 0.096627 0.140766 0.217690 0.384027 0.834526 2.730772 66.880463
2025-05-11 0.092788 0.135741 0.211160 0.376161 0.832666 2.852108 105.847534
2025-05-18 0.090143 0.132648 0.208068 0.375829 0.854403 3.134047 274.410345
2025-05-25 0.086957 0.128463 0.202630 0.369463 0.855500 3.295748 759.496966